Prediction
Prediction is the process of forecasting future events or outcomes based on historical data and statistical models. It involves analyzing patterns and trends to make informed estimates about what may happen next. Predictions can be applied across various fields, including finance, weather forecasting, sports, and machine learning. The distinction between prediction and estimation is crucial; while estimation occurs after an event, prediction is made before it happens. By leveraging data and algorithms, predictions can guide decision-making and strategic planning, helping individuals and organizations navigate uncertainty and optimize their actions in an ever-changing environment.
Probabilistic Predictions
In data science, the traditional approach to dealing with prediction error reminds me of the iceberg metaphor. Our models cannot predict the future perfectly, so we optimize them to push the…
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Estimation, Prediction and Forecasting
Estimation implies finding the optimal parameter using historical data whereas prediction uses the data to compute the random value of the unseen data. Estimation is the process of optimizing the…
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A Theory of Prediction
The Signal and the Noise is probably the most informative non-technical book about the art of predicting ever written. It outlines what is best described as Nate Silver’s “Theory of Prediction”…
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From prediction to decision making
Prediction (correlation) does not imply causation, and it is not sufficient to correctly inform decision and policy makers.
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Python Predicts PUBG Mobile
It is impossible to predict the Future! ( Unless you have a time stone -:) ). But predicting the immediate future is not very hard for us (Humans). We do it in the real life quite often — while…
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Predicting Probabilities — Logit Model Analysis
Purpose: Predicting which applicants will complete their application for admission. The result will help focus recruitment efforts more effectively and efficiently; especially helpful in a time…
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Regression
Regression is an incredibly powerful statistical tool that, when used correctly, has the ability to help you predict certain values. Prediction is a big deal for data analysis. Some would argue that…
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Making Prophecies with Data
Forecasting is a problem common to many industries and is often deployed in scenarios such as financial planning, sales/demand forecasting, marketing campaign analysis, predictive maintenance, and…
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Predicting the Future With AI
Can we predict the future? Most would say no. Let’s change the wording of the question: Can data from the past tell us something about the future? This seems a lot more intuitive, and it’s what Time…
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The Art of Explaining Predictions
How to explain your model in a human-friendly way Continue reading on Towards Data Science
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Predicting unknown unknowns
For classification models for many domains and scenarios it is important to predict when the input given to the model does not belong to the classes it was trained on. It is also an important problem…...
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Prediction Beyond and End of The Available Data
Predictions into the future beyond the sample data in a complex task; especially when we are dealing with stochastic time-series with financial data which emerge from high frequency trading. A…
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